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Investment philosophy | Portfolio engineering |
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What do we know about risk?

  • There is only one riskless asset: inflation-protected government bonds.
  • Stocks are riskier than bonds, except over the very long term.
  • Portfolio risk is not the sum of individual securities' risks. Spreading risk correctly (i.e. diversifying) reduces portfolio risk without jeopardising expected returns.
  • Financial markets are random in the short term, but they revert to the mean over the long term.
  • Large price shifts have a higher probability than a normal distribution would suggest. Financial markets are riskier than most models suggest.
  • Most investors are averse to risk.

Portfolio management is about managing risk
What do we know about risk?
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