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What do we know about risk?
- There is only one riskless asset: inflation-protected government bonds.
- Stocks are riskier than bonds, except over the very long term.
- Portfolio risk is not the sum of individual securities' risks. Spreading risk correctly (i.e. diversifying) reduces portfolio risk without jeopardising expected returns.
- Financial markets are random in the short term, but they revert to the mean over the long term.
- Large price shifts have a higher probability than a normal distribution would suggest. Financial markets are riskier than most models suggest.
- Most investors are averse to risk.
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